En medio de la Guerra Fría, Estados Unidos había sofisticado su sistema de defensa al incorporar los primeros avances de la inteligencia artificial. El objetivo era optimizar la respuesta del sistema de defensa estratégico ante un ataque nuclear de la URSS. Esto consistía en la eliminación del factor humano en la toma de decisiones, para minimizar errores y retardos. Naturalmente, la URSS le seguía los pasos, impulsando el desarrollo de sus propios dispositivos de IA con el mismo fin. Pero, con lo que no contaban los estrategas de uno y otro bando, era con que la capacidad de aprendizaje autónomo de los sistemas de IA arribaría a la optimización final, y a la eliminación de la especie humana. El sistema se llamaba SKYNET, y sus máquinas inteligentes se habían comunicado autónomamente, buscando alcanzar la mejor solución al desafío de la guerra. El 29 de agosto de 1997 fue el día del Juicio Final para la humanidad y el inicio del reinado de las máquinas.
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Sobre una idea de Harlan Ellison, James Cameron desarrolló el guión de Terminator y la película fue estrenada el 26 de octubre de 1984.
La sociedad como creación humana imperfecta
Concebir el reemplazo de la decisión humana en los procesos es fuente de constante debate en el campo de la ética y la IA y, en buena parte de ellos, el supuesto de base es que los seres humanos y sus formas de organización y decisión colectivas constituyen siempre una solución subóptima frente a los problemas o las disyuntivas que enfrenta el devenir de la sociedad. La contrapartida evidente es que algo o alguien exógeno puede decidir de mejor manera. SKYNET lo hizo.
Si sacamos la IA -y la alegoría de Terminator– del ejercicio, podemos encontrar que antes de la Ilustración los sistemas de decisión estaban fundados en esa premisa, que los seres humanos no tomamos buenas decisiones. Afortunadamente, la providencia, que raramente está de parte del pueblo llano, nos proveía de una clase aristocrática y de algún tipo de monarca supremo que llevaba sobre sus hombros la pesada carga de conducir nuestros destinos: un rey, un emperador o un papa. El advenimiento de la Ilustración trajo consigo que los comunes, los postergados, los excluidos de siempre, pudieran hacer uso de una nueva titularidad: poder decidir su destino. Es cierto que el camino de hacer de esa titularidad algo verdaderamente real ha tomado siglos, y lo que resta es la mayor parte. Sin embargo, la historia de la democracia moderna es justamente la historia del derecho a decidir de la ciudadanía.
Esto nos pone frente a un problema de no poca complejidad. ¿Qué ocurre cuando nos equivocamos? En rigor, determinar que una sociedad democrática se ha equivocado es más complejo aún. Pero, en principio, debiéramos pensar que ello ocurre cuando el resultado de la decisión deteriora el nivel de bienestar previo, a pesar de haber esperado que ocurriera lo contrario.
Si constatamos que “nos hemos equivocado”, en general, las sociedades deben desandar el camino recorrido y corregir el rumbo, con todo el costo que ello supone. Sin embargo, como un rumor sordo, siempre resuena la posibilidad de evitar esos errores tan propios del quehacer humano. Más de alguna vez se ha planteado qué ocurriría si alguien revisara nuestras decisiones o, tal vez, tomara aquellas más difíciles por nosotros.
Visiones del Estado
La evolución de la democracia liberal ha ido perfeccionando y haciendo más complejo el dispositivo de administración de la sociedad, el Estado. Cuáles son los ámbitos en que debe estar presente y qué tan “corpulento” debe ser, es motivo de debate desde hace más de cien años.
Distintos autores han abordado la complejidad y el significado de esta suma de instituciones y la manera en que se relaciona con el cuerpo social. Para Lenin, el Estado en el capitalismo es resultado de la presencia de contradicciones irreconciliables entre las clases sociales.[1] Ello supone que, si los conflictos fueran susceptibles de ser procesados al interior de la relación entre capital y trabajo, no se requeriría la existencia de un Estado. Los albores del capitalismo es la época en que ello es más evidente: cuando los capitalistas podían definir las condiciones de trabajo sin contrapartida alguna por parte de los trabajadores, salvo que eligieran no trabajar y, por tanto, morir de hambre. En ese mundo, el Estado no llegaba hasta la relación entre patronos y obreros. Sin embargo, desde el momento en que los trabajadores se rebelan frente a las condiciones impuestas, se requiere una autoridad exógena que medie y resuelva el conflicto: el Estado. La legislación laboral y las regulaciones del mercado del trabajo son, en ese sentido, la expresión de una contradicción irreconciliable, que impide una solución autónoma entre las partes del conflicto.
En la misma línea, Rosa Luxemburgo identifica al Estado como una organización de la clase dominante.[2] Esto implica que, lejos de ser una entidad neutra que se encuentra por encima del bien y del mal, cumple la función de aseguramiento de las condiciones fundamentales del sistema capitalista. En su debate con la socialdemocracia, rescata el rol de los sindicatos: “Los sindicatos (…), no pueden abolir la ley capitalista del salario. En las circunstancias más favorables pueden reducir la explotación capitalista hasta los límites “normales” de un momento dado, pero no pueden eliminarla, ni siquiera gradualmente.”[3] El debate acerca del Estado de Bienestar en Europa lleva esa impronta.
Para Antonio Gramsci, el Estado va más allá de la tradición restringida del liberalismo, con los poderes ejecutivo, legislativo y judicial. Es un dispositivo que articula una estructura (relaciones de producción capitalistas), con una superestructura (la dimensión políticoideológica del sistema social). De este modo, alcanza desde la sociedad política (gobierno, dispositivos represivos y administración), hasta la sociedad civil (iglesia, sindicatos, empresas, medios de comunicación, intelectuales, etc.). El rol del Estado es dar sustento a las relaciones de producción a través de su poder represivo (la coerción) y de la hegemonía, que representa el consenso.[4]
Desde las distintas perspectivas del enfoque marxista, el Estado se presenta como un instrumento de dominación de clase, que, al final del día, lo que hace es esconder esa función tras una apariencia burocrática. Incluso, desde los fundamentos de la sociología, se nos presenta como una entidad cuya misión es el mantenimiento del orden vigente, para lo cual cuenta con el monopolio de la coacción física.[5]
Desde el punto de vista económico, la crisis de 1929 y sus secuelas catastróficas llevaron a J.M. Keynes a romper con el ideario marshalliano imperante, llevando al Estado a un lugar privilegiado, en tanto era la única respuesta posible frente a un capitalismo anárquico y suicida. La solución a la crisis pasaba por un poderoso estímulo a la demanda que solo el Estado podía realizar. La estabilidad de la economía capitalista requería necesariamente una doble función del aparato público, regulación de los mercados y redistribución de los ingresos.[6]
Estado y democracia
La evolución de la democracia liberal, cuya madurez se asocia a la integración universal de los grupos sociales en el sistema político, ha discurrido por dos vías: el creciente condicionamiento de las voluntades mediante el concurso de distintos tipos de medios y redes de comunicación, y la profesionalización del Estado.
Es conocida la anécdota de la manipulación periodística de la entonces llamada “prensa amarilla” (por el color del papel en que se imprimía), que exageraba temas escabrosos, como todo tipo de crímenes, con el objeto de maximizar su tiraje. Con el paso del tiempo, los magnates de esos medios descubrieron que podían alcanzar objetivos políticos manipulando a la opinión pública desde sus periódicos. El dueño y director de New York Journal, William Random Hearst, famoso por carecer de todo escrúpulo, envió un dibujante a Cuba para ilustrar el grave conflicto que, según las páginas de su periódico, se vivía en la isla. Corría 1897 y en Cuba florecía el debate entre quienes deseaban continuar siendo una colonia de España y los que preferían la independencia. En las páginas del periódico de Herst se describían las luchas encarnizadas en las calles, los campos de concentración en los que los españoles mantenían a los insurgentes cubanos para morir de hambre y de enfermedades, la inseguridad y amenazas para los ciudadanos estadounidenses que habitaban en la isla, así como otras historias exacerbadas y generosamente aderezadas con dosis de efectismo y morbosidad.[7] Pero al desembarcar en La Habana, el dibujante no encontró nada de lo que describía su periódico regularmente, observando una situación completamente normal. Sorprendido, puso un telegrama a Herst explicándole que no había ninguna guerra que cubrir, a lo cual, a los pocos días, Herst respondió: “Usted ponga los dibujos que la guerra la pongo yo”.
Desde los albores de la prensa amarilla, pasando por un presente pleno de fake news y finalmente un sistema de redes sociales, que recaba y transforma en mercancía la información acerca de nuestros gustos y comportamientos,[8] existe una clara constante relacionada con la manipulación de las voluntades humanas. Para la democracia moderna supone transformar las distintas alternativas ideológicas en mercancías que persiguen adhesión social mediante campañas de marketing. El discurso de un candidato ha sido customizado hasta el punto de aludir a esas íntimas inquietudes de un público objetivo, que han sido identificadas y trabajadas mediante el big data. Nuestras decisiones políticas ya no reflejan una postura ideológica, sino que son resultado de estímulos publicitarios. Así, la democracia no es más que una declaración de principios.
La segunda vía de maduración de la democracia liberal ha sido la profesionalización de la función pública y el nacimiento de una tecnocracia. El campo de la ejecución de las acciones en el Estado, derivado de un programa político, ha estado entregado normalmente a contingentes de profesionales que poseen las competencias necesarias para ello. A medida que la gestión pública se sofistica y complejiza, ese cuerpo burocrático crece y se especializa.[9] Esta realidad que ya describía Weber a principios del siglo XX, ha sufrido una hipertrofia, y ese contingente tecno-burocrático ha ocupado nuevos y mayores ámbitos, llegando a instalarse en los lugares de decisión. Así, la vieja burocracia se trastoca en tecnocracia. En Chile, el sistema de Alta Dirección Pública encarna esta tendencia.
En las últimas décadas, la gestión política ha enfrentado una pérdida de valoración por parte de la ciudadanía, lo que ha incrementado la evaluación positiva de componentes técnicos en la gestión del Estado, perdiéndose de este modo la responsabilidad política en la gestión pública. El caso más paradigmático es el de los consejos autónomos, al estilo del que rige al Banco Central en Chile. Sus decisiones poseen una gran trascendencia política, y de los costos que muchas veces ellas suponen, sus integrantes, en la práctica, no responden ante nadie. Nominalmente la ley establece en Chile que pueden ser acusados constitucionalmente por abandono de sus deberes, pero eso es impracticable.
Lo anterior supone una nueva restricción en el ámbito de la decisión democrática. La defensa que se realiza del Estado tecno-burocrático tiene como premisa que los representantes políticos actúan guiados por motivaciones espurias y de manera irresponsable. La situación óptima, frente a ello, es que las decisiones las tomen técnicos que actúan con el mejor saber disponible y ajenos a intereses particulares. En rigor, esto es una falacia, puesto que “los técnicos” son individuos, como todos, con una ideología subyacente que acompaña sus decisiones.
[1] V.I. Lenin “El Estado y la revolución” Pg. 14 y ss. https://www.juventudpatriotica.com/portada/sites/default/files/adjuntos/2013/06/ESTADO%20Y%20REVOLUCION%20LENIN.pdf
[2] Luxemburgo, R. (2002) “Reforma o revolución” Publicado y distribuido por Fundación Federico Engels. Pg. 49 y ss. https://www.fundacionfedericoengels.net/images/PDF/Reforma_o_revolucion.pdf
[3] OP. Cit. Pg. 42.
[4] Gramsci, A. (1999) “Cuadernos de la Cárcel. Edición crítica del Instituto Gramsci a cargo de Valentino Garratana” Ed. ERA, México. https://ses.unam.mx/docencia/2018I/Gramsci1975_CuadernosDeLaCarcel.pdf Pg. 138 y ss.
[5] Gigli Box, María Celeste. (2007) “Política y Estado en Max Weber”. IV Jornadas de Jóvenes Investigadores. Instituto de Investigaciones Gino Germani, Facultad de Ciencias Sociales, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires. https://www.aacademica.org/000-024/203.pdf
[6] Salazar S., F. (2006) “Teoría económica y Estado de Bienestar. Una Aproximación” Universidad de Cali https://www.redalyc.org/pdf/2250/225020344006.pdf
[7] https://cristinasaez.wordpress.com/2008/12/01/hearst-o-como-se-gesto-la-guerra-de-cuba/
[8] Zuboff, S. (2020) “El capitalismo de la vigilancia. La lucha por un futuro humano frente a las nuevas fronteras del poder” Ed. Paidós. Barcelona.
[9] Weber, M. (1993) “Economía y Sociedad” Ed. FCE, Madrid, España.
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