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  • 13 de abril de 2022
  • 2.793 comentarios

Houston, tenemos un problema

Rolando Cárdenas

¿Turbulencia o fallas en cabina?

Han pasado recién los primeros 30 días de la instalación del gobierno del presidente Boric, aún cuando pareciera que ha pasado un año, hay una muy interesante evaluación de Édison Ortiz, en este mismo medio que, en clave milénica, desnuda ciertas falencias y también los aciertos de estos primeros días. Está claro que la rueda de la fortuna no esta clavada, y menos en política, por lo que todo puede mejorar o también todo puede ser peor.

El presidente, en su evaluación de este primer mes, reconoce ciertas turbulencias en la partida, que uno puede reconocer en la guerra en Ucrania y su impacto en la economía mundial, que explican las alzas de precios que vive el planeta en su conjunto. Sin embargo, hay otro grupo de problemas que responden más bien a debilidades y errores de quien oficia de copiloto en este avión.

No repasaremos aquí los desaciertos de Izkia Siches, solo decir que su capacidad de conducción política se ha reducido a prácticamente cero. Se puede indicar cómo se ha repetido en los medios que el eje de la conducción política está hoy en Jackson y Vallejos, pero recién esta semana viviremos la primera prueba de fuego para el gobierno: el quinto retiro. Y veremos cómo es capaz de salir de tal atolladero.

Guillermo Teillier, se ha transformado en un impensado actor, pasando desde un proceso de reflexión para determinar el apoyo del PC a esta iniciativa a declarar sorpresivamente, para muchos, que aprobar el quinto retiro es dinamitar las posibilidades futuras del gobierno, al generar un enorme daño a la economía. Punto para Marcel.

De todas maneras, el gobierno está llevando una iniciativa hibrida que permitiría una posibilidad de retirar fondos ante emergencias económicas, que también es una surte de pequeña derrota y de descoordinación interna, ya que ni siquiera era conocida por la subsecretaría de Hacienda. No está claro que este esfuerzo sea suficiente para poder detener a los diputados.

¿Chile es demasiado grande?

Aparte de los errores no forzados evidentes, hay dos elementos que están pesando en los índices de aprobación, y los estudios de opinión así lo demuestran: no tener respuestas concretas a los problemas cotidianos de las personas, y no entender que hoy se exigen acciones específicas, máxime de un gobierno que viene de ser una dura oposición y, por tanto, generó expectativas que pudiera tener ideas distintas y de mayor eficacia a estos graves problemas. Y, en segundo lugar, algo que se vio nítidamente en la primera vuelta electoral: excesivo enfoque en los problemas metropolitanos que los extrapolan a todo el país, dejando el discurso de la descentralización y la inclusión de los territorios en palabras con poca sustancia.

Los brotes verdes

Pero no todo es negativo, también hay aciertos que vale la pena relevar porque pueden ser ejemplos para seguir. En primer lugar, el sorprendente ministro de Educación que es, junto al ministro de Hacienda, el mejor evaluado del gabinete. Ya lo habíamos indicado en anteriores columnas: empatía, pragmatismo, hacerse cargo de errores, cumplimiento de promesas. Su desafío es hacerse cargo, en primer lugar, del gigantesco problema socioemocional que tiene en crisis al sistema educativo.

Marcel sigue manteniendo una alta evaluación, la propuesta de apoyo que lanzó el gobierno (Chile Apoya) está financiada sin que corran riesgos las arcas fiscales, lo que ha sido transversalmente valorado. El ministro de Agricultura, Esteban Valenzuela, ha ido desarrollando una fructífera labor, tanto de centrarse en lo estratégico de su gestión, como de generar relaciones que han significado una importante acción con comunidades mapuche en la Araucanía, sacando al gobierno del tropiezo que significaron las primeras gestiones de Interior. Los ministros más conocidos, aún con la baja en la aprobación de Siches, siguen con números azules.

Es cierto que todo esto es en el primer minuto del juego, y que los retos de verdad recién comienzan ahora, capacidad política hay de sobra en el gobierno y, además, con importantes dosis de oficio político de varios ministros que seguramente serán claves en los días próximos.

Una campaña en forma (y la derecha se resetea o desaparece)

La Convención ya está en tierra derecha, y hay una fuerte campaña para reorientar su gestión y lograr que el resultado de su trabajo sea aprobado por amplio margen. Es desde esta lógica, que la derecha y la izquierda más extrema vuelven a equivocarse: no todas las criticas buscan como resultado fortalecer la opción del rechazo, y dejar fuera del dialogo a la derecha moderada, también es un error, ya que es necesario que ese sector político salga del control del conservadurismo y economicismo extremo.

La comisión de armonización, ojalá reciba un mandato que vaya más allá de superar las contradicciones que puedan producirse en propuestas que han trabajado comisiones separadas, y pueda dar un paso más, ayudando a construir una carta fundamental que efectivamente sea amplia, integradora y responda a los desafíos del siglo XXI.

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